Paul's Props and Touchdowns: 2025 Week 9
Paul Kelly analyzes Fantasy Points projections to spot major discrepancies and find profitable player prop and touchdown bets.
Performance Record by Year
- 2021: 75–47 (61.5%)
- 2022: 85–68 (55.6%)
- 2023: 79–59 (57.2%)
- 2024: 70–50 (58.3%)
- 2025: 32–18 (64.0%, +10.21 units)
Week 9 Overview
Each week, this column features recommended player prop bets based on discrepancies and "anytime" touchdown scorer predictions. After Week 8 marked the first losing record on player props, Paul aims to rebound in Week 9.
Method and Process
To gain an advantage over sportsbooks, Paul began comparing John Hansen’s player projections to the prop lines offered by betting platforms several years ago. The search for meaningful differences led to the creation of a structured system for identifying strong value plays.
“Looking to get an edge over the sportsbooks, I started manually comparing each of John Hansen’s player projections to the player props offered by the books.”
Originally, each prop had to be checked manually. Now, with the prop finder tool, discrepancies are instantly identified, allowing Paul to choose his preferred bets with the most favorable odds across various sportsbooks.
Author’s Summary
Paul Kelly leverages data-driven discrepancies in Fantasy Points projections to target profitable betting opportunities for Week 9 in 2025.