Barring outsized cat losses, reinsurance pricing likely to get progressively softer: J.P. Morgan - Artemis.bm

Reinsurance Pricing Expected to Soften

Despite recent large catastrophe events, such as Hurricanes Helene and Milton, and the Los Angeles wildfires, reinsurance sector capacity continues to grow, according to J.P. Morgan.

Reinsurance prices have been declining over the past two years and we expect them to drop further with 1/1/26 renewals given limited cat activity during hurricane season (thus far),

Property catastrophe prices declined 5-15% with January 2025 renewals, and an even sharper drop is anticipated with 1/1/26 renewals, barring significant cat activity in the next few months.

Author's summary: Reinsurance prices to drop further.

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